Most likely. The other outfits showed up more than once anyway.

some outfit not come often like sai its like once in 1-2 months

How many coupons do you need at least to get it? 1000? 3000?

It's a bit hard to compute when there is a random element involved.

its around 3-5k its better to wait till last day to spent

According to our strongest in player, it took him 3k ingots. But like what Kuro said, better to wait till Wednesday.

it's random because depends on how many times you get fortune coins per try and it also depends on the level you are able to bring your tree.

With a level 6-7 tree leveled up to get Kisame or another feature, then the outfit costs less than 3k.

With a level 3 tree leveled up exclusively to get the outfit will cost you in average 5k.

but how many coupons/ingots needed to reach lv. 6-7 tree?

Assuming he started working on the outfit when his tree was L5+, otherwise, i'm currently at 4200 spending & still need to collect 7 more frags.

This is already including the free dailys + rebated ones. My estimation is i'll prob need to spend 200-400 more cps at the end of day 7 (weds), so for a safe estimation, you'd be roughly looking at 4.5k+ for this outfit (including the 49 free daily dews + 7 rebated dews).

With some luck you may be able to get it for around 4k~, but 3k is pushing it unless you're that lucky and literally land on coins every try.

L1-5 already costs 470 pts (20+50+100+300), which takes 9400 cps already.

Someone correct me on this, my guess is l5-6 alone may cost /500 pts (10 000 cps), and 6-7 /1000 pts (20 000 cps).

If you're a big spender, this events great. At lvl 5 tree, it already looks like a win-win trade-off, and if you're a big enough spender to get it to lvl 7 then congratz..go nuts on the tree, you'd be getting the best discount on these ninjas compared to any event. The ninja frags reset daily and you'd be 30 frags short on 5 starring any ninja in the event in the week

The only problem is, it may cost you $800+ to get to L7. Someone correct me on the pts you need from l5-6, and 6-7

not only for big spenders this event is good for F2p as well as long as you get your tree to l3 or l4 then you can get about 25+ frags easily in the entire event and with a few coupons + we have the myoboku trial going on so it gives the outfit pieces a pretty good chance. then you can get the remaining pieces in the future events without recharging much.. that is if you have about a 1k coupons saved beforehand. also big Fan of your fights man.

I made a mistake on the math.

I'm currently 242 attempts in and have gotten 705 pts so far (47 frags + 3 spare coins)

At 250 attempts you get 15 rebate coins, which means i'm only missing the the pts for 2 more frags.

2 days left in the event (or 14 freebie draws to get 50-3 coins) which should easily be do-able.

All in all i've spent only on 200 attempts for 3800 cps (200*19) + the free dailies/free rebates, and i've gotten back 3.2k cps worth at full shop value in other items on the tree.

One of the best events to date & for all players :)

The most commonly reported range on day one was 4-5k. But that means they didn't use all the free ones, which over course of the week is close to 1k in vlaue.

So assuming that you are ONLY getting the clothing and does not grow your tree aside from that, the expected cost is around 3-4k. There are a few reports of lower expenditure, I think I've heard of like 3.8k on day 1, so you could spend a bit less. At the same time, there are reports of spending more as well.

However, due to the way the tree works, the actual range can't be all that big. Because even if you get really lucky with coins, you are probably not going to complete it with 2k (+free rolls, for 160 or so rolls total), because you'd still be at a pretty low level tree at that point and thus completing it is doubly hard. At the same time, you can't really go too high because once you sank say 5k in (around 320 rolls), every other coin hit will net you a frag, so you really can't go that much beyond it. And given every roll grant a coin, there is literally a hard cap of 13k or so even if you never land on coins.

yeah most people overlook this event since the reward is not immediate and forget the fact that it works sort of like compound interest where it benefits you waay more in the long run.

Some notes:

1) Ignore the left list, that was for the previous tree. For this week, Anbu would cost on average 5.3k (including the 1k value of weekly free draws).
2) Coin chance of 0.5 for level 7 was for previous tree as well since it used to drop a 10 coin option (though that shouldnt impact 99.99% of users here :P)
3) The "total cost" of the Nov 9 items are based on a player starting fresh from a tree. Obviously if you're getting like Kisame + Anbu it isnt a straight summation of both "Total Cost" items.
4) This is an approximation only based on the average odds of coin drops assuming non weighting of options, and your luck for the day.

@Nyte @Slacker~

Perhaps we should hold back on such in depth annalysis on this particular event , or we may see some "balancing" of events *cough cough* next time around

However nice work guys

I have to be very lucky then, i'm 12 coins away from the costume and spent 2,7k ingots and around 800~ coupons. Yay! ^.^

Ive pulled on the tree.. 153 times, including the free ones you get and the ones ive paid for.. I Have managed to get 23 fragments