Having high wish number doesn't directly translate into higher chances of upgrading- if it were that way, we all would upgrade stuff at 50%~ range. The way it works it's a pity timer with rng factor, meaning once you will 100% of the bar, the next item used to upgrade will have 100% to upgrade. The next after 100%, not 99%->100%. RNG factor, because you sometimes upgrade without filling 100% of the bar. Cant determine exactly how this rng factor works, but the 'pity timer' part is 100% accurate. We all know this *s, nothing we can do.
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