Hahhahahahaha yeah you're right. The system has a mind of it's own and it doesn't want you to reach sage of six path arena. No, but for real it's about luck and the time you connect. there is more people doing arena around 19:00 server time.

If you are in the highest arena league (special kage if i remember) it's obvious you will face strong opponent (susono itachi, SOSP Naruto...). About the queue time, i think we should get a free win if we wait more than 5 minutes.