This man speaks the truth, if you are a low level and/or weak and/or rarely active player then you have a chance to "win". If you are an active player or have recharged the chances of you "winning" are about the same as catching a meteorite in your bare hands

Hopefully a disclaimer will allow this post to stay up and not be deleted: I do not claim to know how oasis "random" events "work"(for lack of a better word), but as a long time player and ex-heavy spender this is simply me sharing from my experience here. Good luck either way