Matsuri has always been a gamble on your match, but if you read the matching screen it says you'll get matched to random player if you wait more than 60 secs. Paying attention to these odds kinda helps. For example if you just lost and says you'll be matched to player of lower lvl, dont let matching timer go over 60 seconds. As well as vice versus if youre to be matched to a higher lvl, let you timer go over 60 secs and you may end up with a lower lvl player who isnt aware of random match. This isn't fail safe by any means because being in the advantage that p2ws or plain higher lvls have. They can let their timer go over 60 secs because it doesn't matter to them. This works 75% of the time. 3 to 4 wins most times, I wouldn't skip the event just because of frustration, get the 3 matches, win or lose and you'll get rewards.