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  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 03:26:27Show this Author OnlyDescending Order
1# Go To

has it become rare to get an ss mission in convoy or what? not a single one in 2 days. what is this?

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 04:10:20Show this Author Only
2#

"2 days" is not particularly descriptive. How many refreshes did you get in?

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 04:17:28Show this Author Only
3#

used every single refresh ofcourse. + have standed and waited for the timer.




This post was last edited by Coca Cola ^^ on 2018-01-15 04:17:51.
  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 06:08:29Show this Author Only
4#

I did 8 refreshes yesterday (4 free 4 waiting) and never got a single ss convoy. Kinda irritating cause that was 70 cps I missed out on. They need to do away with the random convoy missions and just let us choose which one we want to do.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 06:45:11Show this Author Only
5#

maybe it has happend for alot of people, first time for me.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 08:13:37Show this Author Only
6#
  • Coca Cola ^^ On 2018-01-15 04:17:28
  • used every single refresh ofcourse. + have standed and waited for the timer.

That just means more than 6 per day, still doesn't tell much....

The maximal being 26 daily, it just doesn't say much...


Anyway, from personal experience, it's about 5% per slot per refresh.

Let's say you got in 15 daily, that means the chance of you not getting one in two days is .95^90, or roughly 1%. A low number to be sure, but not zero.

If let's say you have played two month with this being the average, then the chance of this happening once to you is 45%, a pretty large chance.


So as you can see, it's all a matter of statistic. Unlikely stuff happens every now and then.


Just FYI, the number for 10 refreshes would be 94%, almost guaranteed to happen once. On the other hand, for 26 refreshes it's only 2%, which is something that will almost never happen.

So again, just how many refreshes did you get in?

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 09:27:09Show this Author Only
7#
  • PraiseLuka On 2018-01-15 08:13:37
  • That just means more than 6 per day, still doesn't tell much....

    The maximal being 26 daily, it just doesn't say much...


    Anyway, from personal experience, it's about 5% per slot per refresh.

    Let's say you got in 15 daily, that means the chance of you not getting one in two days is .95^90, or roughly 1%. A low number to be sure, but not zero.

    If let's say you have played two month with this being the average, then the chance of this happening once to you is 45%, a pretty large chance.


    So as you can see, it's all a matter of statistic. Unlikely stuff happens every now and then.


    Just FYI, the number for 10 refreshes would be 94%, almost guaranteed to happen once. On the other hand, for 26 refreshes it's only 2%, which is something that will almost never happen.

    So again, just how many refreshes did you get in?

holy moly. okey so no ss for 2 days. did the 8 free refreshes for those days. and with the normal timer it refreshed all in all 12 times i believe. 3 times during the day, 3 times in the evening. same thing the second day. so 20 time if im correct.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 10:13:18Show this Author Only
8#

happened to me too last week, it's just luck, sadly.

the following day i got two full pages of 3 SS...

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 11:21:12Show this Author Only
9#
  • Coca Cola ^^ On 2018-01-15 09:27:09
  • holy moly. okey so no ss for 2 days. did the 8 free refreshes for those days. and with the normal timer it refreshed all in all 12 times i believe. 3 times during the day, 3 times in the evening. same thing the second day. so 20 time if im correct.

So that means you have a 94% chance of encountering such a case within 2 month of playing, making it a very normal occurrence.

(Just in case I wasn't clear enough, the 10/15/26 I was talking about is per day, so 20/30/52 total respectively)

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 11:36:18Show this Author Only
10#

Just as PraiseLuka said, it is rare but it happens. I know some occasions I would miss SS because I did not have the time to wait for the refreshes, but there was one occasion where I waited and did not get an SS (once in the entire time I have played Naruto Online).


Hopefully, we don't encounter too many of such bad luck. I will also forward your feedback about SS missions.


~Jib


Update: I have just asked the team and there was no change with the rate of SS missions being available. I will continue to update you if I learn more =]




This post was last edited by Jiburiru on 2018-01-15 11:38:48.
  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 13:06:40Show this Author Only
11#
  • PraiseLuka On 2018-01-15 08:13:37
  • That just means more than 6 per day, still doesn't tell much....

    The maximal being 26 daily, it just doesn't say much...


    Anyway, from personal experience, it's about 5% per slot per refresh.

    Let's say you got in 15 daily, that means the chance of you not getting one in two days is .95^90, or roughly 1%. A low number to be sure, but not zero.

    If let's say you have played two month with this being the average, then the chance of this happening once to you is 45%, a pretty large chance.


    So as you can see, it's all a matter of statistic. Unlikely stuff happens every now and then.


    Just FYI, the number for 10 refreshes would be 94%, almost guaranteed to happen once. On the other hand, for 26 refreshes it's only 2%, which is something that will almost never happen.

    So again, just how many refreshes did you get in?

mind explaining where you got 26? are those all free refreshes?

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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  • Posts: 2271
On 2018-01-15 13:13:33Show this Author Only
12#
  • zweilous On 2018-01-15 13:06:40
  • mind explaining where you got 26? are those all free refreshes?

Errr it's 24... dunno where I went wrong XD. Probably counted the extra head or tail twice...

But yes, I meant for it all to be free refreshes.


And in case you wonder where 24 came from, it's 4 manual plus 10 per session.

10 per session is gotten through 1 at start and up to 9 refreshes.



P.S. 24 daily would mean the occurance rate is 3.7% instead of the previously stated 2% for 26 daily.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 6
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On 2018-01-15 13:56:05Show this Author Only
13#
  • PraiseLuka On 2018-01-15 13:13:33
  • Errr it's 24... dunno where I went wrong XD. Probably counted the extra head or tail twice...

    But yes, I meant for it all to be free refreshes.


    And in case you wonder where 24 came from, it's 4 manual plus 10 per session.

    10 per session is gotten through 1 at start and up to 9 refreshes.



    P.S. 24 daily would mean the occurance rate is 3.7% instead of the previously stated 2% for 26 daily.

ow that explains. coz i got 24 too and so i thought that maybe i counted it wrong thank you.

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
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On 2018-01-15 19:46:32Show this Author Only
14#

same happened to me yesterday idk why

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 24
  • Posts: 172
On 2018-01-15 21:24:09Show this Author Only
15#
  • Jiburiru On 2018-01-15 11:36:18
  • Just as PraiseLuka said, it is rare but it happens. I know some occasions I would miss SS because I did not have the time to wait for the refreshes, but there was one occasion where I waited and did not get an SS (once in the entire time I have played Naruto Online).


    Hopefully, we don't encounter too many of such bad luck. I will also forward your feedback about SS missions.


    ~Jib


    Update: I have just asked the team and there was no change with the rate of SS missions being available. I will continue to update you if I learn more =]

allright, thanks :)

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 24
  • Posts: 172
On 2018-01-15 21:24:57Show this Author Only
16#
  • PraiseLuka On 2018-01-15 11:21:12
  • So that means you have a 94% chance of encountering such a case within 2 month of playing, making it a very normal occurrence.

    (Just in case I wasn't clear enough, the 10/15/26 I was talking about is per day, so 20/30/52 total respectively)

allright, thanks :)

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