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[ Help ] ss convoy

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  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 29
  • Posts: 2271
On 2018-01-15 04:10:20Show All Posts
2#

"2 days" is not particularly descriptive. How many refreshes did you get in?

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 29
  • Posts: 2271
On 2018-01-15 08:13:37Show All Posts
6#
  • Coca Cola ^^ On 2018-01-15 04:17:28
  • used every single refresh ofcourse. + have standed and waited for the timer.

That just means more than 6 per day, still doesn't tell much....

The maximal being 26 daily, it just doesn't say much...


Anyway, from personal experience, it's about 5% per slot per refresh.

Let's say you got in 15 daily, that means the chance of you not getting one in two days is .95^90, or roughly 1%. A low number to be sure, but not zero.

If let's say you have played two month with this being the average, then the chance of this happening once to you is 45%, a pretty large chance.


So as you can see, it's all a matter of statistic. Unlikely stuff happens every now and then.


Just FYI, the number for 10 refreshes would be 94%, almost guaranteed to happen once. On the other hand, for 26 refreshes it's only 2%, which is something that will almost never happen.

So again, just how many refreshes did you get in?

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 29
  • Posts: 2271
On 2018-01-15 11:21:12Show All Posts
9#
  • Coca Cola ^^ On 2018-01-15 09:27:09
  • holy moly. okey so no ss for 2 days. did the 8 free refreshes for those days. and with the normal timer it refreshed all in all 12 times i believe. 3 times during the day, 3 times in the evening. same thing the second day. so 20 time if im correct.

So that means you have a 94% chance of encountering such a case within 2 month of playing, making it a very normal occurrence.

(Just in case I wasn't clear enough, the 10/15/26 I was talking about is per day, so 20/30/52 total respectively)

  • Registered: 2017-07-24
  • Topics: 29
  • Posts: 2271
On 2018-01-15 13:13:33Show All Posts
12#
  • zweilous On 2018-01-15 13:06:40
  • mind explaining where you got 26? are those all free refreshes?

Errr it's 24... dunno where I went wrong XD. Probably counted the extra head or tail twice...

But yes, I meant for it all to be free refreshes.


And in case you wonder where 24 came from, it's 4 manual plus 10 per session.

10 per session is gotten through 1 at start and up to 9 refreshes.



P.S. 24 daily would mean the occurance rate is 3.7% instead of the previously stated 2% for 26 daily.

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