I think people are just finding what ever reason to figure out their super rare odds xD

At the least, we know it could be 50/50 chance of getting either; it's easy to correlate drawing a random frag with your super rare. Sometimes it matches up, but I guarantee that it won't match up for others.

RNG is just RNG--no rhyme or reason.

For me, 1 Madara frag was pulled, and I pulled Madara; that's luck!